Analysis of Limiting Factors Across the Life Cycle of Delta Smelt (Hypomesus transpacificus)

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Authors

Hamilton, Scott A.
Murphy, Dennis D.

Issue Date

2018

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Article

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Keywords

Limiting factors , population ecology , conceptual ecological models , delta smelt , Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta

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Abstract

We developed a mechanistic life-cycle model derived from the elicitation of multiple factors influencing the success of individual life-stages of the imperiled delta smelt (Hypomesus transpacificus). We discuss the relevance of limiting factors in population ecology and problems with additive models in detecting them. We identify limiting factors and assess their significance using a non-linear optimization routine, combined with traditional metrics to assess the value of covariates and model performance. After reviewing previous conceptual models and multivariate analyses, we identified a set of factors that were consistent with conceptual models and useful in explaining the erratic fluctuations in a common abundance index: food at certain times in certain locations, predation by introduced species primarily in the spring, and entrainment. The analytical approach provides a transparent and intuitive framework in which to consider the contribution of covariates and consequences for population trends, and has the potential to assist with the evaluation of proposed recovery measures.

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Citation

Hamilton, S. A., & Murphy, D. D. (2018). Analysis of Limiting Factors Across the Life Cycle of Delta Smelt (Hypomesus transpacificus). Environmental Management, 62(2), 365�"382. doi:10.1007/s00267-018-1014-9

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Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

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ISSN

0364-152X

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